The global economy is poised to navigate a year laden with uncertainties, as highlighted by the latest report from the World Economic Forum, headquartered in Geneva, SwitzerlandThis report, released recently on the 16th local time, sheds light on an array of challenges threatening to undermine economic stability across nationsFactors such as fragmentation, burgeoning debt issues, and geopolitical unpredictability are pivoting global economic perspectives, as economists brace for a formidable landscape ahead.

As underscored in the report, the economic atmosphere is tightening, with a stark forecast indicating that global growth will remain tepid through 2025. A staggering 56% of surveyed chief economists believe that the global economy is set to weaken further in the coming year, while merely 17% foresee a turnaroundThis prevailing sentiment underscores the enduring repercussions of geopolitical tensions and the permeating uncertainties surrounding fiscal policies

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Particularly, the upcoming economic impact of events in the United States in November 2024 has drawn considerable scrutiny from the market, and feeble performances in parts of Europe and Asia loom ominously over global economic forecastsThe International Monetary Fund (IMF) anticipates a global growth rate of just 3.2% in 2025, mirroring the figures from 2024, with a potential dip to 3.1% over the next five years.

A pivotal challenge in the current economic milieu is fragmentation—a trend regarded as a crucial variable perpetuating discord in global commerceThe report indicates that an alarming 94% of economists predict a concerning escalation in the fragmentation of goods trade over the next three years, intensified by impediments to labor mobility and increased barriers to technological data transferThis fragmentation trend emerges as a direct consequence of geopolitical rivalries, shifts in domestic policies, and the waning influence of multilateral institutions

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They further exacerbate costs for businesses and consumers alike while obstructing collaborative efforts needed to tackle global challenges like climate change.

Interestingly, economists' perspectives align regarding the exacerbation of economic and financial risks, predictive of heightened internal inequalities within economies due to fragmentationTo navigate this new economic order, multinational corporations are reconfiguring their supply chains, localizing operations, and retreating from select marketsAs indicated by the report, over 90% of chief economists expect businesses to reorganize their supply chains with concentrated focus on core marketsThis strategic pivot is set to significantly reshape not only the operational frameworks of multinational companies but also the architecture of global investments.

The report's findings also reveal pronounced disparities in economic performance across regions, drawing an intricate correlation between fragmentation and economic divergence

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Among major economic players, the United States and the South Asian region, particularly India, are displaying noteworthy growth momentumA notable 44% of surveyed chief economists predict robust growth for the U.Seconomy in 2025, while a remarkable 61% forecast sustained growth in South AsiaHowever, India's growth rate is projected to decelerate to 5.4% in the latter half of 2024, hinting at some underlying vulnerabilities.

In stark contrast, the European economy lingers in a downturn, with as many as 74% of economists predicting a lackluster growth trajectoryAccording to the latest data from Eurostat, the Eurozone GDP only saw a 0.9% quarter-on-quarter growth in Q3 of 2024, and Germany faced a worrying decline of 0.4%. Meanwhile, the global inflation rate appears to be easing, showing apparent regional disparitiesThe report indicates a gradual decline in global inflation levels, with the IMF projecting an average global inflation rate of 4.3% in 2025, down from 5.8% in 2024. Nevertheless, inflation in the services sector continues to outpace goods inflation, a trend observed particularly in both developed and emerging market economies.

Moreover, the optimistic economic growth outlook in the U.S

• Funds and Foreign Investors Target High-Growth Stocks
• Challenges in the Global Labor Market
• The Fed's Next Move: Anticipated Rate Hike
• Key Metal Exports Restricted, Prices Soar
• Japan's Holdings of U.S. Debt Decline in November

coincides with a notable rise in inflation expectationsApproximately two-thirds of the reviewed chief economists predict that shifts in U.Spolicies encompassing trade, immigration, and fiscal measures will have lasting repercussions on the global economic landscape.

The report also raises alarms regarding the looming specter of debt pressures that the global economy facesData from the IMF indicates that global public debt has surpassed $100 trillion in 2024 and might reach a staggering 115% of GDP within three years.

Governments worldwide find themselves ensnared in a fiscal trifecta, grappling with rising costs linked to national security, an aging population, and climate change, all while striving to maintain the sustainability of public debt against a backdrop of surging public discontent over increased taxationThe report anticipates that the U.Smay steer towards a more accommodative fiscal policy, while Europe is likely to veer towards tighter regulations.

On the monetary policy front, as inflation rates gradually recede, the tightening cycle among global central banks appears to be concluding